When you study military history, you quickly learn there are many motivations for war. Some are valid, most are self-serving, a few are simply bonkers. In a world where there seems to be a vast desire to cause suffering through acts of war, we don’t simply need to identify the motivation for war, but identify what has made it possible for the desire of war to be achieved.
We see today, not simply a breakdown of diplomacy, but a complete embrace of chaos. I am sure there are those who think, “A show of strength and force is a good thing,” but we have left behind the “tough-guy” posturing which often accompanies diplomatic strategy, and embraced something else altogether. The diplomatic structure which, while not preventing all war does mitigate all-out war, is being dismantled and replaced by chaos.
The study of diplomatic and military history, and international relations shows a pattern of progression.
In the eighteenth century, philosophers debated, and revolutionaries carved out a modern version of an old theory – democratic republic. In the nineteenth century, European nations came together with the goal preventing war during a time when the advancement of technology (ships and trains) had made war more entangled and intertwined. In the twentieth century, when technology (airplanes and rockets) made world war all-encompassing, worldwide diplomatic organizations grew in strength.
An international community developed out of this progress, one that while far from perfect, seemed unified in a goal.
The twenty-first century sees the progress of the past in tatters as forces from every direction shreds its very fabric. Many may be wondering if this fabric can withstand the attack, and if it does, can it be mended?
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Back when I was an undergrad student a professor of mine postulated, somewhat in jest, that the chaos of the late 1960s was due to the disturbance caused by sunspots. As strange as it might seem, over the years I have noticed there does seem to be more chaos in periods with heavy solar eruption. Was he on to something?
I type this with the same humor that my professor used when sharing the theory with me. The study of history can be traumatic, maybe not quite as traumatic as living through the history, but traumatic in its own way. Injecting a bit of levity can be beneficial.
Do you know what happens when you leave a bunch of toddlers in a room without supervision for a period of time? Goodness, even one toddler with a box of crayons can cause astounding chaos in just a few short minutes.
Take away diplomacy, take away experience, take away the layers of governance that often seems slow and stodgy, and you take away the adult in a room full of toddlers. Crayon damage will be the least of your problems.

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